Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Sterilized intervention

Sterilized intervention neutralizes its impact on the money supply. As there are rather few central banks that want the impact of their intervention in the foreign exchange markets to affect all corners of their economy, sterilized interventions have been the tool of choice. This holds true for the FRS as well.

The sterilized intervention involves an additional step to the original currency transaction. This step consists of a sale of government securities that offsets the reserve addition that occurs due to the intervention. It may be easier to visualize it if you think that the central bank will finance the sale of a currency through the sale of a number of government securities. Because a sterilized intervention only generates an impact on the supply and demand of a certain currency, its impact will tend to have a short-to medium-term effect.

[Why ForexGen]

1. Lowest spreads in the market with 0-1 pips in 10 pairs, no commissions, no swaps and instant account Activation.
2. Scandinavian quality with Swiss precision, funds secured and local agents in 18+ countries.
3. ForexGen offers Forex trading in the major currency pairs and crosses.
4. Low capital start, with $250 as a minimum account size.
5. Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.
6. ForexGen offers a free trial Forex [demo account] that allows you to test your skills and practice without risking real money.

We consider every client as a special case, a VIP and a partner. A client's profit is our success and a client's loss is a significant call of action for us. Customer care is the heart of our business, we know every client on personal bases as we provide 24/7 customer support.
We keep contact with our clients to ensure that we are on the right track. Leading our client relationship to success is our focus.
Let [ForexGen] prove to you that you have taken the right step by choosing our partnership.

One Type of Foreign Exchange Interventions

Naked intervention, or unsterilized intervention, refers to the sole foreign exchange activity. All that takes place is the intervention itself, in which the Federal Reserve either buys or sells U.S. dollars against a foreign currency. In addition to the impact on the foreign exchange market, there is also a monetary effect on the money supply.

If the money supply is impacted, then consequent adjustments must be made in interest rates, in prices, and at all levels of the economy. Therefore, a naked foreign exchange intervention has a long-term effect.

[ForexGen Introducing Brokers]

Introducing Brokers may be individuals or institutions who gain their income from the commissions and/or rebates by introducing customers to ForexGen trading.

WHAT are the advantages of being an INTRODUCING BROKERS with ForexGen?

* Providing the most huge income sharing plan
* Providing several ways for our IB's to charge commission.
* ForexGen IB can also charge commission for each lot the traders execute.
* Moreover, ForexGen IB is able to increase the spread for all or certain clients and have ForexGen Investments rebate the difference.

In case the IB does not increase the spread or charge their clients a commission, ForexGen rebate the IB a minor predefined amount for every client's executed lot.
Commission is paid out every month.

Individualized Service

[ForexGen] offers our IB's individualized service created according to the individual needs and specified business situation for each IB.
Our Introducing Broker program provides a highly organized program for individualized services and organizations in order to introduce their clients to the online foreign currency exchange market, moreover they will enjoy the benefits of being a part of the ForexGen family.

ForexGen offers 1 pip spread on 10 pairs with high trading techniques that make [ForexGen]
incomparable to any other rival.

Matched Sale-Purchase Agreements Are Just The Opposite of Repurchase Agreements

When executing a matched sale-purchase agreement, a bank or the FRS sells a security for immediate delivery to a dealer or a foreign central bank, with the agreement to buy back the same security at the same price at a predetermined time in the future (generally within 7 days). This arrangement amounts to a temporary drain of reserves. The impact on the foreign exchange market is that the national currency should strengthen.

Monetary operations include payments among central banks or to international agencies. In addition, the FRS has entered a series of currency swap arrangements with other central banks since 1962. For instance, to help the allied war effort against Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990-1991, payments were executed by the Bundesbank and Bank of Japan to the Federal Reserve. Also, payments to the World Bank or the United Nations are executed through central banks.

Intervention in the United States foreign exchange markets by the U.S. Treasury and the FRS is geared toward restoring orderly conditions in the market or influencing the exchange rates. It is not geared toward affecting the reserves.

[ForexGen Money Manager]

An individual who is responsible for the entire financial portfolio of another individual or another entity. A money manager receives payment in exchange for choosing and monitoring appropriate investments for the client.

Benefits of being a Money Manager with [ForexGen]:

* Providing three different commission sources.
* Weekly commission plan.
* Easy & fast commission withdrawals.
* Fixed percentage of the profits.
* P = k * D “P=Profit, k=Variable Parameter, D=Deposits”

The money manager gets a fixed percentage of the profit previously agreed upon with the client for managing the client funds as a bonus feature.

The most competitive trading conditions:

* 2 pips spread on six currency pairs.
* Providing online trading services without maintenance margin, margin call and no automatic closing of positions below the initial margin on weekdays for accounts with initial equity of up to $1 million US. The margin level have to be recognized Fridays at 23:00 CET and before public holidays.
* Leverages up to 1:200 for accounts up to $1 million US.
* Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.

The Role of U.S (FRS) AND The Central Banks

The role of U.S. Federal Reserve System and Central banks of other G-7 countries on Forex. All central banks, and the U.S. Federal Reserve System (FRS) as well, affect the foreign exchange markets changing discount rates and performing the monetary operations (as interventions and currency purchases).

For the foreign exchange operations most significant are repurchase agreements to sell the same security back at the same price at a predetermined date in the future (usually within 15 days), and at a specific rate of interest. This arrangement amounts to a temporary injection of reserves into the banking system. The impact on the foreign exchange market is that the national currency should weaken. The repurchase agreements may be either customer repos or system repos.

[ForexGen Live Account]

The live/real account is provided to those clients who may have some experience in the online trading.

[Opening an Account Online]

The quickest, easiest and secure way to open a ForexGen trading account is online.
Complete and submit your application online in just a few minutes.

ForexGen.com is an online trading service provider supplying a unique and individualized service to Forex traders worldwide. We are dedicated to absolutely provide the best online trading services in the Forex market.

ForexGen provides a unique online trading experience based on our intelligent online Forex trading package, the ForexGen Trading Station, including the best online trading system.

The Most Important landmark in the history of Financial Markets

At the end of the 70-s the free-floating of currencies was officially mandated that became the most important landmark in the history of financial markets in the XX century lead to the formation of Forex in the contemporary understanding. That is the currency may be traded by anybody and its value is a function of the current supply and demand forces in the market, and there are no specific intervention points that have to be observed. Foreign exchange has experienced spectacular growth in volume ever since currencies were allowed to float freely against each other. While the daily turnover in 1977 was U.S. $5 billion, it increased to U.S. $600 billion in 1987, reached the U.S. $1 trillion mark in September 1992, and stabilized at around $1.5 trillion by the year 2000.

Main factors influences on this spectacular growth in volume are mentioned below. A significant role belonged to the increased volatility of currencies rates, growing mutual influence of different economies on bank-rates established by central banks, which affect essentially currencies exchange rates, more intense competition on goods markets and, at the same time, amalgamation of the corporations of different countries, technological revolution in the sphere of the currencies trading. The latter exposed in the development of automated dealing systems and the transition to the currency trading by means of the Internet. In addition to the dealing systems, matching systems simultaneously connect all traders around the world, electronically duplicating the brokers' market.

Advances in technology, computer software, and telecommunications and increased experience have increased the level of traders' sophistication, their ability to both generate profits and properly handle the exchange risks. Therefore, trading sophistication led toward volume increase.
Regional reserve countries. Along with the global reserve currency – U.S. dollar, there are also other regional and international reserve countries.

In 1978, the nine members of the European Community ratified a plan for the creation of the European Monetary System managed by the European Fund of the Monetary Cooperation. By 1999 these countries, which constituted so-called Euro zone, have implemented the transition to the common European currency - the euro (see Figure 1.1).
The euro bills are issued in denominations of 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, and 500 euros. Coins are issued in denominations of 1 and 2 euros, and 50, 20,10, 5, 2, and 1 cent.
The euro is a regional reserve currency for the euro zone countries and the Japanese yen – for the countries of South – East Asia. The portfolio of reserve currencies may change depending on specific international conditions, to include the Swiss franc.

[ForexGen Demo Accounts Contest]

Win Cash Prizes

[ForexGen] has the pleasure to announce the launching of the Demo Account contest on the first of every month.

Interested clients who wish to participate in this event shall send an e-mail request on demo.contest@forexgen.com including the following information:
- Full name:
- Phone number

Also provide us with the following identification document:

" Certified copy of the information pages of account holder current valid passport or government issued photo ID"

After we receive your request we will provide you with further details and with your [demo account] login information which will be used in the trading contest.

By the end of each contest:

1. All participants that manages to open at least 20 lots will be awarded a Live Account with $50 credit
2. All participants that manages to open at least 20 lots and keep their demo account initial balance will be awarded a Live Account with $100 credit

3. The highest 5 accounts with the highest profits (including the floating P/L) will be awarded a Live Account with $250 credit.


The contest starts on the first Sunday of each month at 10 pm GMT and ends on the last Friday of that month at 10 pm GMT.


For more information about our current and future promotions, kindly contact one of our customers support agents at promotions@forexgen.com

Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Buying New Highs and Selling New Lows

One of the oldest and most powerful money management strategies used to enter into and exit out of trades is using new highs and new lows over a certain period of time.An example would be to sell a new 10-day low to enter into the trade and use a new 10-day high as your trailing protective stop.

This allows one to trade on the daily chart without having to follow the market throughout day. To set your trailing stop, you just have to check the daily chart after the 5PM Eastern close to see what the highest high of the 10 previous days was. If it was different from the previous day’s stop level, you just move your stop, if not, you leave it alone.

You can do this until the market comes back up to stop you out, meaning you are trying to get the most out of the move. The key is to only trade in the direction of the trend as that is where you will find some of the biggest moves.
much as a new 40-day high or low to enter into or exit out of a trade. You can also use this approach on an intraday chart, although I would recommend using higher values.

Perhaps a 20-period high or low on the 4-hour or hourly chart would be more appropriate than a 10-period high or low. You have to check to make sure. But it is easy to backtest this approach as it is easy to identify new highs and lows….either they are or they aren’t. The key to trading on the intraday charts is once again to only trade in the direction of the daily trend.

While this money management approach may not be perfect, it is better than most money management strategies used in the markets and is relatively easy to use. That makes it a valuable tool worth looking into by traders who currently struggle with how to get into and out of a trade.

[ForexGen Demo Account]

ForexGen provides its traders with a free Forex demo account where the trader is allowed to participate in Forex trading with real market conditions and get used to the Forex trading employing ForexGen professionalized online trading platform. A Forex demo account permits the trader utilize the advantages and the benefited features provided by our online trading services. The trader must enter a valid e-mail address to freely open a demo account. You will be able to upgrade to Live Account at any time with minimal efforts.

ForexGen demo account advantages:
* Innovated trading with no request for a quote for up to 200 lots (20 million).
* The client is provided by a simple system with included options that are easily grasped and used.
* Real time prices are usually modified and provided.
* [ForexGen] provides Real time charts with the most famous indicators.
* Daily reports for the account status.
* Summarization of the current client's orders, account equity, profit and loss ranging.
* Exclusive technical analysis provided daily to your mailbox in the Trading Platform. The trading real time technical analysis by Capital Management is sent daily to the trader’s mail
* Streaming News headlines are supplied by AFX News.
* The ability to form the traders own strategies using the Expert Advisor.

What are the best times to trade for individual currency pairs?

The foreign exchange market operates 24 hours a day and as a result it is impossible for a trader to track every single market movement and make an immediate response at all times. Timing is everything in currency trading. In order to devise an effective and time-efficient investment strategy, it is important to note the amount of market activity around the clock in order to maximize the number of trading opportunities during a trader’s own market hours.

Besides liquidity, a currency pair’s trading range is also heavily dependent on geographical location and macroeconomic factors. Knowing what time of day a currency pair has the widest or narrowest trading range will undoubtedly help traders improve their investment utility due to better capital allocation. This chapter outlines the typical trading activity of major currency pairs in different time zones to see when they are the most volatile.

For example : Asian Session (Tokyo): 7 P.m.–4 A.m. EST

FX trading in Asia is conducted in major regional financial hubs; during the Asian trading session, Tokyo takes the largest market share, followed by Hong Kong and Singapore. Despite the flagging influence of the Japanese central bank on the FX market, Tokyo remains one of the most important Dealing centers in Asia. It is the first major Asian market to open, and many large participants often use the trade momentum there as the benchmark to gauge market dynamics as well as to devise their trading strategies. Trading in Tokyo can be thin from time to time; but large investment banks and hedge funds are known to try to use the Asian session to run important stop and option barrier levels. Figure 5.1 provides a ranking of the different currency pairs and their ranges during the Asian trading session.

For the more risk-tolerant traders, USD/JPY, GBP/CHF, and GBP/JPY are good picks because their broad ranges provide short-term traders with lucrative profit potentials, averaging 90 pips. Foreign investment banks and institutional investors, which hold mostly dollar-dominated assets, generate a significant amount of USD/JPY transactions when they enter the Japanese equity and bond markets. Japan’s central bank, with more than $800 billion of U.S. Treasury securities, also plays an influential role in affecting the supply and demand of USD/JPY through its open market operations. Last but not least, large Japanese exporters are known to use the Tokyo trading hours to repatriate their foreign earnings, heightening the fluctuation of the currency pair. GBP/CHF and GBP/JPY remain highly volatile as central bankers and large players start to scale themselves into positions in anticipation of the opening of the European session.


ForexGen offers three types of business partnerships:

*Introducing Broker
*White label
*Money Manager

ForexGen Introducing Brokers, White Label and Money Manager holders are recognized as a strategic business partners. The main focus of our service is to satisfy our partner's needs in order to deal with a qualified service and gain a huge income sharing plan.

[ForexGen] provide appropriate services satisfying the needs of all business partner's specified situation and requirements.

Know Your Currencies

In the forex markets, it’s worth knowing the characteristics of the currency pairs, since each of them exhibit distinct identities. Most of the currencies exhibit similar movement patterns, which can help a trader confirm price movements. One such close relation can be found between the EUR/USD & USD/CHF.
The price movements of these two currency pairs are absolute mirror images. In short, they have an inverse relationship. If Eur/Usd is rallying, then Usd/Chf should have downward movement, and vice-versa.

The following chart has a comparative price movement of both these currencies, and this inverse relation can be seen very clearly

how does one take advantage of this?

The most obvious fact is that one must not trade both the currencies at the same time. If one is long the Eur/Usd, logically one should not be long the Usd/Chf at the same time, since the Usd/Chf would have a downward movement.
And…neither is it advisable to take opposing trades on these two pairs, because if the trade goes wrong, then the trader would incur losses in both the trades.
Ideally, one should trade either of the two pairs. The best way to take advantage of this fact is to cross-check a trade by looking for confirmation factors on the other pair. If a trader is planning to take a long position in the Eur/Usd, he can look for a similar short setup on the Usd/Chf. If such an opposite setup is present in the Usd/Chf, it only adds further credence to his long Eur/Usd trade.

There are other currency pairs also which exhibit a close relation. Another fact is that each currency has an approximate Average Daily Trading Range (also known as the ADR), which it follows in the normal course of the trading day.
While this is not written in stone, it serves a good thumb rule to estimate the movement of the particular currency. Thus it is worth studying these relationships…to gain a higher edge in the market. Sometimes it is this basic knowledge, which can be the dividing line between success and failure.

[Why ForexGen]

1. Lowest spreads in the market with 0-1 pips in 10 pairs, no commissions, no swaps and instant account Activation.
2. Scandinavian quality with Swiss precision, funds secured and local agents in 18+ countries.
3. ForexGen offers Forex trading in the major currency pairs and crosses.
4. Low capital start, with $250 as a minimum account size.
5. Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.
6. ForexGen offers a free trial Forex [demo account] that allows you to test your skills and practice without risking real money.

We consider every client as a special case, a VIP and a partner. A client's profit is our success and a client's loss is a significant call of action for us. Customer care is the heart of our business, we know every client on personal bases as we provide 24/7 customer support.
We keep contact with our clients to ensure that we are on the right track. Leading our client relationship to success is our focus.
Let [ForexGen] prove to you that you have taken the right step by choosing our partnership.

Know Yourself, Know Your Setup

Who are you? What are your strengths and what are your weaknesses? Do you thrive amidst chaos or require regimentation and stability? In trading, the answers to these questions are far more important than any setup you can devise.

At its core, trading is a game of psychology, and no amount of reading, no computerized back-testing, no advanced seminar work will produce long-term success if your trading style is in conflict with your basic personality. Contrary to popular belief, successful traders do not change their approaches to adjust to the market but rather find market environments that best suit their inherent strengths.

That’s why in books like Jack D. Schwager’s Market Wizards (New York Institute of Finance, 1989; HarperBusiness, 1993) you will find very successful traders following diametrically opposite approaches to the market and often dispensing what appears to be contradictory advice. In fact, it’s not at all inconceivable to imagine two market wizards taking opposite sides of the same trade yet both walking away with a profit.

To market novices this idea may seem completely illogical. In most businesses we are taught that there is always an optimal way of doing things, that certain processes will be far superior to others. Clearly that’s the case with engineering, where scientific rules of optimization and refinement apply to everything from car production to bridge building.Financial markets, however, are emotional mechanisms, which is why engineering-based solutions to trading inevitably fail.

Financial markets are extraordinarily complex with a multitude of players, each with a different agenda and time perspective, providing the trader with a variety of opportunities for profit. Since the currency market is the largest financial market of all, the flexibility to craft a strategy conducive to your specific personality is even better in FX than in any other market.

[ForexGen Introducing Brokers]

Introducing Brokers may be individuals or institutions who gain their income from the commissions and/or rebates by introducing customers to ForexGen trading.

WHAT are the advantages of being an INTRODUCING BROKERS with ForexGen?

* Providing the most huge income sharing plan
* Providing several ways for our IB's to charge commission.
* ForexGen IB can also charge commission for each lot the traders execute.
* Moreover, ForexGen IB is able to increase the spread for all or certain clients and have ForexGen Investments rebate the difference.

In case the IB does not increase the spread or charge their clients a commission, ForexGen rebate the IB a minor predefined amount for every client's executed lot.
Commission is paid out every month.

Individualized Service

[ForexGen] offers our IB's individualized service created according to the individual needs and specified business situation for each IB.
Our Introducing Broker program provides a highly organized program for individualized services and organizations in order to introduce their clients to the online foreign currency exchange market, moreover they will enjoy the benefits of being a part of the ForexGen family.

ForexGen offers 1 pip spread on 10 pairs with high trading techniques that make [ForexGen]
incomparable to any other rival.

Are You Calmed and Relaxed When You Trade?

There have been times when I made mistakes under pressure, but I don’t recall ever cracking under pressure. By that I mean I didn't panic, but I have come close. Being short soybeans when Chernobyl blew up was probably the closest. I've made huge errors in conduct - once I sat and lost $45,000 in a matter of minutes because I tried trading while teaching a student at the same time. Lesson learned: Never trade and teach at the same time. Stay focused on one or the other. I once woke up to a margin call of $21,000+, but it turned out in my favor. I had erroneously left a 5-lot in the market overnight - thinking I was flat - the result of sloppy housekeeping.
Nevertheless, I have learned how to make trades in a relaxed, but focused way. I don't put unnecessary pressure on myself. I don’t let myself get stressed out - it’s simply too costly to do that.
I don't believe that I have to be successful on any one trade; I keep my focus on the big picture. I don't believe I need to be right. I don't try to impose my will on the market. And I definitely don't try to predict the future of price movement. The market is the market - it does what it wants to do.

What I do is to closely observe market conditions and movement, and make up a detailed plan of attack. I trade what I see, allowing the market to take me where it wants to go. I make a serious effort to stay calm and relaxed, and ready to act on whatever happens next.
Once I have a trading plan, I follow it. I do not doubt or second-guess my plan. I meditate on my plan and picture myself carrying it out successfully, before I ever enter a trade. I really believe in mental imaging as being an important activity.

[ForexGen Money Manager]

An individual who is responsible for the entire financial portfolio of another individual or another entity. A money manager receives payment in exchange for choosing and monitoring appropriate investments for the client.

Benefits of being a Money Manager with [ForexGen]:

* Providing three different commission sources.
* Weekly commission plan.
* Easy & fast commission withdrawals.
* Fixed percentage of the profits.
* P = k * D “P=Profit, k=Variable Parameter, D=Deposits”

The money manager gets a fixed percentage of the profit previously agreed upon with the client for managing the client funds as a bonus feature.

The most competitive trading conditions:

* 2 pips spread on six currency pairs.
* Providing online trading services without maintenance margin, margin call and no automatic closing of positions below the initial margin on weekdays for accounts with initial equity of up to $1 million US. The margin level have to be recognized Fridays at 23:00 CET and before public holidays.
* Leverages up to 1:200 for accounts up to $1 million US.
* Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.

Monday, December 29, 2008

SKorea Economy May Further Slow Down in 2009

South Korea's president says economy may further slow down in 1st half of 2009

South Korea's president said Saturday the country's economy may shrink in the first half of next year due to fallout from the global financial crisis.
President Lee Myung-bak said the economy could hit the bottom in the first six months next year but South Korea may attain economic growth for 2009 on an annual basis. He didn't elaborate.

Lee, who took office in February with a pledge to achieve annual growth of 7 percent, made the grim projection as the country's export-driven economy has been hit by the global slowdown, with exports falling sharply and domestic consumer spending weakening.
Lee also called on officials to make thorough preparations for the economic hardships, saying next year will be a "difficult" period. He made the comments in a meeting with prime minister, finance, culture, education ministers before receiving ministries' policy briefings for 2009.

Earlier this month, South Korea's central bank said the country's economy will grow 2 percent in 2009, compared with a revised estimate of 3.7 percent for 2008. South Korea's economy grew 5 percent last year.
The Asia's fourth-largest economy has not contracted on an annual basis since 1997, when it was hit by the Asian financial crisis that forced the government to seek a $58 billion bailout from the International Monetary Fund.

[ForexGen Live Account]

The live/real account is provided to those clients who may have some experience in the online trading.

[Opening an Account Online]

The quickest, easiest and secure way to open a ForexGen trading account is online.
Complete and submit your application online in just a few minutes.

ForexGen.com is an online trading service provider supplying a unique and individualized service to Forex traders worldwide. We are dedicated to absolutely provide the best online trading services in the Forex market.

ForexGen provides a unique online trading experience based on our intelligent online Forex trading package, the ForexGen Trading Station, including the best online trading system.

Sunday, December 28, 2008

US Dollar Consolidation Could Yield Breakouts as Liquidity Returns

Fundamental Outlook for US Dollar: Bearish

- US personal spending contracted for the fifth straight month in November as jobless claims held near 26-year highs

- US durable goods order fell less than expected, helped by an increase in defense spending and business investment

- US retail sales tumbled during December despite aggressive discounting, according to SpendingPulse


The US dollar has spent the past week consolidating within thin ranges, as low volumes did little to spark directional trade. This left the greenback down 1 percent against the euro and up roughly 1.5 percent versus the British pound and Japanese yen by Friday’s close. In the coming week, the US markets will be closed on January 1 for New Year’s Day, and low liquidity conditions could persist as scattered financial markets around the globe will also be closed on Wednesday and Thursday. Meanwhile, there will be a bit of event risk on hand, leaving potential open for volatility to pick up a bit.

On Tuesday at 9:00 ET, the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for the month of October is anticipated to fall by a record 17.8 percent from a year earlier, highlighting the extent of the collapse in the US housing sector. At 10:00 ET, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for the month of December is expected to edge up to 45.5 from 44.9. This would mark the second improvement in a row, but it’s necessary to keep these figures in perspective, as the record low of 38.8 going back to 1967 was just realized in October, down significantly from the index’s average of more than 100 throughout 2006 and 2007. Indeed, the outlook for consumption remains bleak, especially as aggressive discounting by retailers was not able to prevent holiday spending from slumping 4 percent in December from a year earlier (excluding gasoline), according to SpendingPulse.

On Wednesday, initial and continuing jobless claims are likely to hold near their highest levels since late-1982, boding ill for the January 9 release of US non-farm payrolls. Finally, on Friday, the Institute for Supply Management’s index of manufacturing conditions during December may fall to the lowest levels since 1982, while the record low of 29.4 reached in May 1980 looms close below.

[ForexGen Demo Accounts Contest]

Win Cash Prizes

[ForexGen] has the pleasure to announce the launching of the Demo Account contest on the first of every month.

Interested clients who wish to participate in this event shall send an e-mail request on demo.contest@forexgen.com including the following information:
- Full name:
- Phone number

Also provide us with the following identification document:

" Certified copy of the information pages of account holder current valid passport or government issued photo ID"

After we receive your request we will provide you with further details and with your [demo account] login information which will be used in the trading contest.

By the end of each contest:

1. All participants that manages to open at least 20 lots will be awarded a Live Account with $50 credit
2. All participants that manages to open at least 20 lots and keep their demo account initial balance will be awarded a Live Account with $100 credit

3. The highest 5 accounts with the highest profits (including the floating P/L) will be awarded a Live Account with $250 credit.


The contest starts on the first Sunday of each month at 10 pm GMT and ends on the last Friday of that month at 10 pm GMT.


For more information about our current and future promotions, kindly contact one of our customers support agents at promotions@forexgen.com


Thursday, December 25, 2008

Taking the Emotion Out of Trading

If the key to successful trading is a disciplined approach — developing a trading plan and sticking to it — why is it so hard for many traders to practice trading discipline? The answer is complex, but it usually boils down to a simple case of human emotions getting the better of them. Don’t underestimate the power of emotions to distract and disrupt.

So exactly how do you take the emotion out of trading? The simple answer is: You can’t.

As long as your heart is pumping and your synapses are firing, emotions are going to be flowing. And truth be told, the emotional highs of trading are one of the reasons people are drawn to it in the first place. There’s no rush quite like putting on a successful trade and taking some money out of the market. So just accept that you’re going to experience some pretty intense emotions when you’re trading.

The longer answer is that because you can’t block out the emotions, the best you can hope to achieve is understanding where the emotions are coming from, recognizing them when they hit, and limiting their impact on your trading. It’s a lot easier said than done, but keep in mind some of the following to keep your emotions in check:

_ Focus on the pips and not the dollars and cents. Don’t be distracted by the exact amount of money won or lost in a trade. Instead, focus on where prices are and how they’re behaving. The market has no idea what your
trade size is and how much you’re making or losing, but it does know where the current price is.

_ It’s not about being right or wrong; it’s about making money. The market doesn’t care if you were right or wrong, and neither should you. The only true way of measuring trading success is in dollars and cents.

_ You’re going to lose in a fair number of trades. No trader is right all of the time. Taking losses is as much a part of the routine as taking profits. You can still be successful over time with a solid risk-management plan.

[ForexGen Demo Account]

ForexGen provides its traders with a free Forex demo account where the trader is allowed to participate in Forex trading with real market conditions and get used to the Forex trading employing ForexGen professionalized online trading platform. A Forex demo account permits the trader utilize the advantages and the benefited features provided by our online trading services. The trader must enter a valid e-mail address to freely open a demo account. You will be able to upgrade to Live Account at any time with minimal efforts.

ForexGen demo account advantages:
* Innovated trading with no request for a quote for up to 200 lots (20 million).
* The client is provided by a simple system with included options that are easily grasped and used.
* Real time prices are usually modified and provided.
* [ForexGen] provides Real time charts with the most famous indicators.
* Daily reports for the account status.
* Summarization of the current client's orders, account equity, profit and loss ranging.
* Exclusive technical analysis provided daily to your mailbox in the Trading Platform. The trading real time technical analysis by Capital Management is sent daily to the trader’s mail
* Streaming News headlines are supplied by AFX News.
* The ability to form the traders own strategies using the Expert Advisor.

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Core Inflation Slows in November But no Deflation

A important measure of inflation fell to its lowest level in more than four years last month, data on Wednesday showed, but economists still don't expect the trend to translate into Japan-style deflation.
Growth in the core price index for personal consumption expenditures, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, slowed to 1.9 percent in November compared to a year ago from 2.0 percent the month before, the Commerce Department said.
This is the lowest reading since March 2004, when the United States was rebounding after a deflation scare, and represents a half percentage point drop from the recent peak of 2.4 percent hit in July.

The rapid decline places the index securely within the 1 percent to 2 percent "comfort zone" of Federal Reserve policy-makers, who watch the index closely for signals on the inflation trend.
Deflation can be hard to stop once it builds momentum, but economists said there were enough prices still moving higher to make it a remote risk for the time being.
"We're unlikely to see this pace of deceleration continue over the next few months, so I don't think we're going to be pushing 1 percent by mid-year," said Dean Maki, co-chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital in New York.

Deflation, defined as a broad and sustained decline in general price levels, can harm an economy by encouraging consumers to postpone spending because they think prices will fall in the future, depressing demand.
"In the current environment that seems unlikely because you are seeing so many prices continuing to rise, even on a month on month basis," said Maki.
Japan suffered from a decade of deflationary stagnation in the 1990s, which only ended when the central bank used unconventional policy tools to quantitatively ease monetary conditions by driving up bank reserves.

The Fed has already deployed its own version of unconventional easing measures by pumping over $1 trillion into credit markets with the aim of driving down private sector borrowing costs to stimulate spending and investment.
The Fed dramatically lowered interest rates to almost zero last week in order to preserve price stability and has said that it thinks the risks of deflation are not large at this point, but remain on its radar screen.
"Policy-makers are probably more focused on the risk that the rate passes through the band to the lower side over the near-term, given the continued downtrend underway in commodity prices," said Mike Englund, chief economist at Action Economics, referring to the Fed's perceived inflation comfort zone.


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Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Swiss Franc Technical Outlook

We maintain that the US Dollar/Swiss Franc is likely to hold important Fibonacci support through the near future. The 1.0670 mark represents the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of the 1.2300-0.9640 move, and said level may continue to contain declines through price action in the coming weeks.

The shorter-term picture is much more difficult to decipher, as the severity of recent USD/CHF moves leaves little in the way of significant resistance levels. Previous spike-highs just above 1.1300 represent the next level of clear resistance, and the USD/CHF could effectively remain within a range through the holiday-shortened week of trading.

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Monday, December 22, 2008

2009 Dollar Outlook

In 2009, assuming that the global economy finds a trough by summer, we see the dollar rallying further into the trough, but underperforming most other currencies as the world recovers in 2H. The swings in the global business cycle will likely be the dominant driver for the dollar. Other factors such as US government debt sustainability and the US inflation outlook associated with the Fed’s QE (quantitative easing) operations will likely be secondary considerations, mainly because we believe that US Treasuries will remain well-supported and a flare-up in inflation is not a probable risk.

There is no official change to our forecast and we continue to look for EUR/USD to dip to 1.10 by 2Q, before recovering to 1.20 by end-2009. USD/JPY will likely exhibit a similar U-shaped trajectory, dropping to 85 by 2Q before rising to 100 by end-2009. Most EM currencies will likely experience intense depreciation pressures vis-à-vis the USD in 1H. Differentiation at the EM country level will likely be unproductive in the sell-off phase. But in the recovery phase, country-specific factors will likely drive a wedge between the currencies of the ‘good’ from the ‘bad’ economies.

Resurrecting our ‘four seasons’ framework. In thinking about how currencies might be affected by large swings in the global business cycle, it is important to consider both the real economy and the financial side (the buoyancy of global equity markets). In other words, exchange rates are not only functions of relative economic growth, but are also sensitive to general levels of risk appetite, which are correlated with the buoyancy of world equity markets. Since financial markets tend to be ‘forward-looking’ and anticipatory, when the world plunges into a recession, earnings forecasts are cut, risk-taking curtailed, and equity prices decline ahead of the actual contraction in economic activities.

To help us think about the implications for currencies, we first calculated the historical correlations between various currencies (vis-à-vis the dollar) relative to economic growth and the equity markets. Different currencies tend to perform best in different ‘seasons’, or ‘comfort zones.’ We suggest that high-beta currencies such as many of the AXJ currencies belong to summer or the spring quadrants, while the currencies of large capital-surplus countries, such as JPY and CHF, should be in ‘winter’ or ‘fall’. By and large, simple correlations of exchange rate performance relative to global growth and global financial market buoyancy are consistent with these broad prejudices. The distance of these currency cells from the origin denotes the size of the elasticities.

We believe that EUR and CHF should underperform the dollar as we enter the ‘winter’ quadrant, due to European and Swiss banks’ exposure to Eastern Europe. JPY, on the other hand, could be supported by acute repatriation flows as we head into ‘winter’.

Call 1 — The dollar to strengthen first, and weaken later. At the turn of each year, there is a temptation for analysts like ourselves to make one call on the dollar for the entire calendar year (i.e., a strong or weak dollar ‘year’). However, more often than not, currencies don’t change trends on January 1. 2008 is a good example: The dollar did not begin to show strength until May against AXJ currencies and until July against the EUR. In the first few months of 2008, the dollar was extraordinarily weak. For 2009, we see the opposite trends: dollar strength in the first months, followed by possible dollar weakness in 2H. We see the world toggling through ‘winter’ and ‘spring’ in 2009, with a risk that ‘winter’ may last longer than 1H, and ‘summer’ may come in 2010 or later. Thus, we will be buying dollars and JPY into 1H, but with a view to flip our positions some time in 2Q in anticipation of a global economic recovery.

Call 2 — EM currencies will be stressed in 1H. The global EM currency ‘moment’ is not over, in our view. In fact, the process is roughly halfway complete. We see weaker Latam currencies in 1H09. Pressures on AXJ currencies will likely persist, as these countries’ exports collapse and their central banks cut interest rates. We believe that even the CNY will be allowed to weaken against the dollar in coming months. Eastern European currencies may come under intense balance of payments pressures. While Russia especially deserves investors’ full attention, the familiar structural fragilities of EE will expose the broad region to possible discrete changes in the RUB, in our view. When the global economy bottoms, we would be keen to buy back KRW, BRL and MXN. Our view on the commodity currencies (AUD, NZD, CAD) is broadly similar to that on the EM currencies.

Call 3 — We remain bearish on the EUR in 1H. Though the EUR is no longer overvalued, it is still over-rated and over-owned, in our view. The sell-off from 1.60 to the high 1.20s merely puts EUR/USD closer to its fair value: EUR/USD was massively overvalued at 1.60. The EUR is no longer expensive, but it is not cheap. Further, the only reason why the dollar could have rallied so sharply since July was its hegemonic reserve currency status. The fragmentation of the European sovereign bond markets helps preserve the superior reserve status of the dollar. Finally, the negative feedback from possible fractures in EE could cause material damage to the EMU, and weigh on EUR.

Two main risks to our dollar view. The two key risks to the dollar are inflation and an unsustainable federal debt profile. The Fed’s QE operations need an exit strategy. The latest talk of the Fed issuing its own debt may be one way the Fed could unwind its balance sheet in time to stabilise inflation expectations. The dollar’s performance will be driven by inflation expectations, in our view. Similarly, the super-sized US fiscal deficits will be a risk for the dollar, though our central case view is that US Treasuries are more likely to be a preferred safe haven asset in a global recession relative to other sovereign debt..

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Sunday, December 21, 2008

Amazon Pollution Case Could Cost Chevron Billions

Chevron faces potential $27 billion bill in Amazon pollution lawsuit

When the sun beats particularly hot on this land in the middle of the jungle, the roads sweat petroleum.
A Rhode Island-sized expanse of what was once pristine Amazon rainforest is crisscrossed with oil wells and pipeline grids built by Texaco Inc. a generation ago. And for the past 15 years, a class-action lawsuit has been winding its way through the courts on behalf of the more than 125,000 people who drink, bathe, fish and wash their clothes in tainted headwaters of the Amazon River.
Now a single judge is expected to rule in the case in 2009 from a ramshackle courtroom in this northern frontier town. Statements from a court-appointed expert suggest Chevron Corp. -- which bought Texaco in 2001 -- will be held responsible for the many oil spills and dumping of wastewater. If Chevron loses, it could be ordered to pay up to $27.3 billion in damages, though an appeal would be likely.

The expert, geological engineer Richard Cabrera, largely accepts plaintiffs' claims that Texaco left a mess when it left in the early 1990s. He is recommending damages based partly on his calculation of 1,401 pollution-caused cancer deaths.
Chevron does not deny "the presence of pollution and we don't deny that there were impacts," says spokesman Kent Robertson. But Chevron contends a 1998 agreement that Texaco signed with Ecuador, after spending $40 million on remediation, absolves it of any legal responsibility. It says, and few dispute, that its former partner, state oil company Petroecuador, kept polluting after Texaco departed.
When Donald Moncayo was a kid, he remembers, Texaco soaked the dirt thoroughfares it cut through the jungle with crude to keep dust down.
"We would run on roads they coated with oil," he says. "We went to sleep with our feet black. You could only remove it with gasoline."

Pipelines across the area connected the wells to the 313-mile Trans-Ecuadorean Pipeline built by Texaco to carry crude to the Pacific. Moncayo, 35, can't remember when the pipelines weren't springing leaks.
His mother died in 1987 from an internal infection he blames on oil contamination. Now he works for the plaintiffs, taking visitors on "toxic tours."
One of the first stops is a fresh spill. It's little more than 50 gallons, dark and gooey. Bigger spills have smothered crops, choked birds, killed cattle.
In the early days of the oil bonanza, Ecuador's government encouraged people to settle in the oil patch by offering free homesteads. But it provided almost no services -- hardly any of the area's drinking water is treated.
Ecuadorean governments reaped the wealth of Texaco's jungle project, with gross domestic product more than tripling from 1972 to 1977. By the time Texaco departed, the consortium it headed had extracted nearly 1.5 billion barrels of oil from more than 350 wells.

In the meantime, Ecuadorean oil field workers slathered the crude on their legs, believing it cured rheumatism. Some coated their scalps because American supervisors told them the crude warded off baldness, they said.
"They were pulling our legs," recalls Margarita Yepez, a former Texaco social worker who believes such careless exposure to crude killed some of her colleagues. "What did we know? They were the experts."
The plaintiffs say Texaco saved $8-$10 a barrel by dumping some 18 billion gallons of the wastewater from drilling and extraction into waste pits instead of re-injecting it back deep into the ground. The more than 1,000 waste pits were not lined, so the toxins seeped into the groundwater, they say.
The plaintiffs also allege the company poisoned the air by burning off natural gas and set fire to solid wastes during the 1990s remediation. They say they found a July 1972 Texaco memo that orders the company's acting manager in Ecuador to report only major spills and destroy "all previous reports" on spills.

One of the memo's two authors is Robert M. Bischoff, then Texaco's chief for Latin America. He retired in 1984.
"I don't remember that," Bischoff, 89, told the AP by phone from Florida. "In all my years with Texaco, and I was with them 40 years, I was never asked to do anything that I'd be ashamed of."
If the plaintiffs win, according to their lead attorney, Pablo Fajardo, residents will finally get a potable water distribution system and basic health care. But should Chevron have to underwrite the creation of services that no government bothered to offer?
"It's a bit of opportunism and a bit of populism rolled into one," says Robertson.
Ironically, it was Texaco that first pushed to get the case heard in Ecuador. It argued that a federal court in New York -- where Texaco was based -- was not the appropriate venue, and that Ecuador's judicial system was reliable and independent. The New York judge threw the case out and in 2003 it was refiled in Lago Agrio.

But Rafael Correa was elected president in 2006, and everything changed. Chevron says it can't get a fair trial as long as he is running Ecuador.
Last year, Correa led reporters on a tour of former drilling sites, declaring there had been no cleanup. The leftist U.S.-trained economist has expelled foreign oil companies that won't agree to his profit-sharing terms. And in August, Ecuador ordered a criminal investigation of two longtime Chevron executives and seven former government officials for allegedly falsifying the documents that endorsed Texaco's remediation.
Chevron also complains vehemently that court-appointed expert Cabrera is a stooge of the plaintiffs. "He's put blinders on and says all conditions today are attributable to Chevron," says Robertson.

The presiding judge, Juan Evangelista Nunez, denies he'd bow to political pressure.
"The only truth that is constant in this case is that there will be no political influence of any kind here," he told the AP.
One stop on Moncayo's "toxic tour" is Campo Aguarico 2, a well he says was sealed in 1985. Its three wastewater pits were topped off with dirt during Texaco's cleanup.
Moncayo plunges a surgical glove-sheathed hand into the muck of one pit. He pulls up rancid, oil-coated leaves from surrounding saplings. A pipe juts out of another pit, dripping what looks like crystalline water that reeks of petroleum hydrocarbons.

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